SDL-PAND KPIs Model actual

All Catalunya

Row Row

New cases

The simulation model allows to have a forecast of the evolution of the pandemic. It is corrected based on the actual data of the evolution of the pandemic. The current model is model 2.9b. The R is calculated with the EpiEstim package of the statistical language “R”.

R valueR

Row

Effective growth

C3: 3 days moving average; C7: 7 days moving average; C14: 14 days moving average. C7 and C14 are more stable than C3, picking up trend variations in full week. Especially C3 has bias, an increase (very unstable) may represent a quick warning of possible worsening.

Incidence

Incidence of the pandemic in the population, per 100,000 inhabitants.

Situation reported in Catalonia

Accumulated curve

Row

Total number of cases (detected)

2414112

Actual number of cases (estimated)

2557832

New cases from the last day

2251

Last day of system update

2022-03-01